Creating the future : the use and misuse of scenarios

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Title Creating the future : the use and misuse of scenarios
Author ROUBELAT, Fabrice; GODET, Michel
Abstract Facing dramatic changes, organizations do not only have to be reactive and pre-active, but also pro-active, thus linking anticipation and action. To transform anticipation into action through appropriation, scenarios should follow four conditions: relevance, consistence, likelihood and transparency. For that purpose, the use of simple formal tools like structural analysis, actors' strategy analysis, morphological methods or probability analysis, illustrated with a case study on the steel and iron industry, is useful to avoid entertainment and to explore all possible scenarios
xmlui.dri2xhtml.METS-1.0.item-description-miscellaneous Tiré à part pages 164 à 171
URI http://hdl.handle.net/2042/32402
Date 1996
Identifiant P915

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